Draft King

QB Prospects, NIL, and the 2026 NFL Draft

Draft King's 2026 NFL Draft News
By: Lou Pickney of MockDraftNFL.com
November 13, 2025

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The impact of NIL is likely to limit options for NFL teams hoping to land a top-tier quarterback in the 2026 NFL Draft, but in turn that also sets the stage for a potentially historic 2027 QB class.

It took a massive legal fight for college athletes to finally be able to earn compensation from their Name, Image, and Likeness, secured by Supreme Court victories in O'Bannon v. NCAA in 2015 and NCAA v. Alston in 2021.

The NCAA's restrictions on NIL violated antitrust law. And now those illegal restrictions are gone.

Some programs have responded faster than others to the massive rule changes. It has also taken time for the market to adjust to modern economic realities. Even now, many top college players are earning well below their true value.

Because spending for the top college players works, the top spenders are finding success. This will just encourage more spending, from Phil Knight with Oregon to Mark Cuban with Indiana to many other wealthy supporters at many other universities.


This economic shift hasn't been seen as something that would upend the top of the NFL draft board, but I suspect that's about to change. There's just too much money on the table for elite QB prospects to pass up, at least in many cases.

Staying in college has become, for some top players, the smarter and safer economic move: you decide where you'll live and you know how much you'll make for the next year. The NFL offers no such certainty.

Of course, unless the United States federal government passes a "Senator Blutarsky Memorial Act" mandating seven years of eligibility for college athletes, eventually players will have to leave for the NFL. And that reality could set the table for an absolutely loaded 2027 NFL Draft.


Notable Senior QBs (Projected Day 2 or Beyond)

Garrett Nussmeier, LSU
Carson Beck, Miami
Cade Klubnik, Clemson
Drew Allar, Penn State


Notable Draft-Eligible QBs Who Could Return for 2026

Ty Simpson, Alabama
Simpson turns 23 in December and has had an outstanding 2025 season for the Crimson Tide. He seems the most likely of the top QB prospects with 2026 NCAA eligibility to leave for the NFL.

Fernando Mendoza, Indiana
Mendoza showed exceptional poise in rallying Indiana to victory at Penn State in a late fourth-quarter drive for the ages this past weekend. There has been widespread speculation on whether Mendoza will turn pro after the season; it could end up that the better business decision for him will be to stay with IU.

Dante Moore, Oregon
Moore has two years of NCAA eligibility remaining after this season. After redshirting in 2024, Moore has had a tremendous 2025 season for the Ducks. You'll know we've hit the tipping point if Mendoza and Moore return to college for 2026, though Moore would clearly stand to benefit from another year at Oregon.

LaNorris Sellers, South Carolina
Sellers would seem to be a good fit for the University of Miami's Cam Ward Finishing School for Exceptional QB Prospects. The risk for any round one non-lock is sliding and then ending up slotted with a low salary for four years.

Arch Manning, Texas
It would be stunning if Manning left Austin after this season. This setup has been in place for some time, it's Manning's family gimmick to spend four years at one university, and he would benefit from another year of college play before heading to the NFL.

John Mateer, Oklahoma
Props to Mateer for trying to will himself into action after undergoing thumb surgery, but his hand injury has clearly impacted his game. It will be interesting to see if Oklahoma is able to retain offensive coordinator Ben Arbuckle and whether that impacts Mateer's decision for 2026.



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